Phenomdesi! makes the team

As predicted  (ahem), the Royals announced that Raul Mondesi will be their 2nd basemen to open the year. He had too many AB to be ranked on the off-season list, but what can the dynasty owner expect from Phenomdesi?

Last year’s big league audition did not go well, with the kid slashing 185/231/281 in 135 AB. That included a possibly fluky .270 BABIP, accented with an ugly 34% K rate.

Various projections have him rebounding a bit, probably on the basis of normalizing BABIP alone:

PECOTA: 218/247/355

ZIPS: 212/248/354

Steamer: 230/271/359

I think there is more power in there then he is getting credit for in those projections, closer to .180-.200 ISO. I wonder what the KC brass is hoping for this year- 240/270/350? Escobar has put up 260/290/340 the past two years combined.

Long term, KC is dreaming on Mondesi’s combined minor league line in 2016 of 268/322/469, with 24 SB and only 1 CS in half a season. That, coupled with amazing SS defense is a perennial All-Star in a league without Correa and Lindor.

For this year, Mondesi is likely going to be a drag on BA – and if you play in an OBP league, even more so – but should easily reach 30 SB with a dozen homers or so if he manages to avoid Omaha all year.

I’ll put him at 240/280/400, with 13 HR and 37 SB, complete with all the saucy saucy webgems you can handle.

About KC Shankland 15 Articles
KC Shankland lives in Maple Valley, Washington. His Royals fandom runs from the Royals/Yankees blood feud of the ‘70s to Hosmer’s mad dash home. ‘People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball. I’ll tell you what I do. Obsess over prospects.’

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